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Squash Match Probability Calculator illustration

Squash Match Probability Calculator

Builds the exact Markov chain of point-a-rally squash (PAR-11: games to 11, win by 2) from one number per player — the probability of winning a rally on own serve — with the winner-serves-next rotation. Computes game odds, best-of-3 or best-of-5 match odds and the game-score distribution.

Read the full guide to this tool

Momentum mode simulates 20,000 full matches point by point — expect the result to take a few seconds.
0.03
How much winning a point boosts the winner’s chance on the next one. 0 behaves like independent points; 0.03 is a moderate, realistic level; 0.1 produces heavy streaks.

Notes

  • Under PAR scoring the server’s edge is small — professional serve-rally win rates hover a few points above 50%.
  • The winner of a game serves first in the next one; the model averages over the opening toss.
  • Educational estimate for sport and training purposes, not professional coaching or medical advice.

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