ICM & Deal Calculator illustration

ICM & Deal Calculator

Turns tournament chip stacks into prize-money equity with the Independent Chip Model (Malmuth-Harville): each player's probability of every paid finish and the resulting share of the remaining prizes. It then builds two deals — an ICM split and a proportional chip chop — shows the difference per player, and can carve an extra amount out of the pool for whoever ends up winning.

Amount set aside from the pool and paid to whoever finishes 1st; the deal splits the rest.

Notes

  • ICM assumes every chip is equally likely to be won by anyone: no skill edge, no position, no blind pressure. Short stacks facing the blinds are usually worth slightly less than their ICM number.
  • A chip chop splits the pool in proportion to chips, but chips lose value as you accumulate them (the payout ladder caps what 1st place can win), so a chip chop systematically overpays big stacks and underpays short ones — ICM corrects for that.
  • Up to 12 players are supported; probabilities are computed exactly with the Malmuth-Harville recursion.
  • Gambling math is informational only, not betting advice. Gambling involves risk of loss; only play with money you can afford to lose, and only if you are 18+ (or of legal age where you live).